The Perfect Bet

Author: Adam Kucharski
Publisher: Profile Books
ISBN: 9781782832058
Release Date: 2016-05-05
Genre: Mathematics

Gamblers have been trying to figure out how to game the system since our ancestors first made wagers over dice fashioned from knucklebones: in revolutionary Paris, the 'martingale' strategy was rumoured to lead to foolproof success at roulette ; today, professional gamblers are using cutting-edge techniques to tilt the odds in their favour. Science is giving us the competitive edge over opponents, casinos and bookmakers. But is there such a thing as a perfect bet? The Perfect Bet looks beyond probability and statistics to examine how wagers have inspired a plethora of new disciplines - spanning chaos theory, machine learning and game theory - which are not just revolutionising gambling, but changing our fundamental notions about chance, randomness and luck. Explaining why poker is gaming's last bastion of human superiority over AI, how methods originally developed for the US nuclear programme are helping pundits predict sports results and why a new breed of algorithms are losing banks millions, The Perfect Bet has the inside track on any wager you'd care to place.

Pride Prejudice and the Perfect Bet

Author: Marilyn Brant
Publisher: CreateSpace
ISBN: 1500473901
Release Date: 2014-07-09
Genre: Fiction

The course of true love doesn't always run smooth…Everyone thought Beth Ann Bennet and Dr. Will Darcy had an unexpected romance in PRIDE, PREJUDICE AND THE PERFECT MATCH (White Soup Press, January 2013). Now, Beth's best friend, Jane Henderson, and Will's first cousin, Bingley McNamara, begin their own unlikely love story in PRIDE, PREJUDICE AND THE PERFECT BET, which starts at the Bennet/Darcy wedding when the two of them find themselves in the roles of maid of honor and best man for the newlyweds.Jane is an interning school psychologist and a woman who wears an angelic mask in public, but she's not as sweet tempered as she'd like everyone to believe. Turns out, she may have just crossed paths with the one person who'll unnerve her enough to get her to reveal her true self.As for Bingley, he's a wealthy, flirtatious, compulsively social guru of finance, who likes to wager on stocks and, let's face it, on just about anything that strikes his fancy. But this dedicated ladies' man may have finally met the woman who'll challenge his bachelor ways! Pride, Prejudice and the Perfect Bet…where life's biggest gamble is the game of love.An Excerpt from Chapter One:Finally, the procession out of the church began and Jane, as maid of honor, had to walk back down the aisle with Bingley, the supposed "best" man.“Delightful ceremony,” he pronounced loudly, insuring that everyone nearby would hear, as he formally offered her his arm. But he looked at her as if he'd much rather promenade with a python.“I agree,” she said, smiling tightly and playing the part.He cast an absolutely ecstatic grin at the friends and family in attendance as the two of them took their first steps toward the church's vestibule. “Only the receiving line and the final pictures,” he hissed, his lips near her ear as if sharing a secret. “And then I can start getting drunk. I plan to be pretty damn buzzed before our special dance.”She leaned closer to him and hissed right back, “So funny! I was thinking exactly the same thing.” “Yeah? I remember the last time you got your hands on some champagne, Jane. Who are you gonna be making out with tonight?”She gripped his arm perhaps a little more forcefully than necessary. “Not you.”He winced but didn't stop walking or faux grinning at the congregation. “Oh, I wasn't offering, sweetheart. I've already been burned once. I don't do second chances.”She gulped. To her ear, he sounded hurt, which both surprised her and pissed her off. He was acting like some innocent in the whole thing. Like he hadn't been trying to take advantage of her—one way or another. That he hadn't made a bet that involved her. Ha. She'd tear him apart limb by limb, this very second, in fact, if it wouldn't ruin her dress before the reception.Beth and Will, the happy newlyweds, had stopped just up ahead of them and were getting ready to greet their guests in the receiving line. Before Jane pulled away from Bingley to dutifully take her place next to the bride, she gave the quote-unquote “best man” her parting shot. “I don't do second chances either,” she informed him. “And, for the record, you might as well pay up Dustin and buy your own beer because there's no way you'll win your gamble with him. At least not with my help.”Jane had the satisfaction of seeing him freeze in his spot, a look of shock and confusion on his handsome face, as she turned her back to him.Now that she'd told him off at last, he'd have to stay away from her, except when their attendant duties made interaction absolutely necessary. Seriously, how much more trouble could the guy cause in less than twenty-four hours, right?Right.

Das Risiko und sein Preis

Author: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Publisher: Verlagsgruppe Random House GmbH
ISBN: 9783641234522
Release Date: 2018-08-27
Genre: Social Science

Warum wir nur denen vertrauen sollten, die etwas zu verlieren haben Stehen wir für die Risiken ein, die wir verursachen? Zu viele der Menschen, die auf der Welt Macht und Einfluss haben, so Nassim Nicholas Taleb, müssen nicht wirklich den Kopf hinhalten für das, was sie tun und veranlassen. Intellektuelle, Journalisten, Bürokraten, Banker, ihnen vor allem wirft er vor, kein »Skin in the Game« zu haben. Weil sie den Preis nicht bezahlen müssen, wenn sie irren, fällen sie schlechte Entscheidungen. Taleb zeigt anhand vieler Beispiele, wie »Skin in the Game«, ein fundamentales Konzept des Risikomanagements, auf alle Bereiche unseres Lebens übertragen werden kann. Sein neues Buch, so provozierend und bahnbrechend wie »Der Schwarze Schwan«, fordert uns heraus, alles, was wir über Risiko und Verantwortung in Politik, Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft zu wissen glauben, neu zu denken.

How to Win Big at Baccarat

Author: John C. Steele
Publisher: BookBaby
ISBN: 9781623094515
Release Date: 2012-07-08
Genre: Games & Activities

Baccarat has a reputation for being played by almost exclusively by high-rollers, players that don’t mind risking thousands on a single hand, but modern variations have brought Baccarat out of the VIP room and onto the main floor where more people can get involved. The fact that it gives players some of the best odds of any game in the casino has drawn in more and more players, but most people treat the game as little more than a coin flip, not realizing that powerful counting and betting strategies can push the odds in their favor. HOW TO WIN BIG AT BACCARAT starts with the basics, breaking down a single hand so that you have a full understanding of every phase of the game. It then goes on to explain how the different bets differ from each other and the relative house edge associated with different options. It tells you which bets are the best default options, which bets can be used under special circumstances to win big, and which sucker bets should be avoided no matter what. Once you have a firm understanding of how Baccarat is played, HOW TO WIN BIG AT BACCARAT develops a powerful betting strategy that includes card counting techniques, bet sequencing, and precise timing to push the odds in your favor, allowing you to make powerful plays as the game progresses. Finally, HOW TO WIN BIG AT BACCARAT covers the mental side of Baccarat, teaching you how to develop a calm, disciplined style of play while avoiding the emotional traps that cause players to throw away their hard earned winnings. HOW TO WIN BIG AT BACCARAT also provides in-depth coverage of Punto Banco, Chemin de Fer, Baccarat Banque and the fast-paced variations of the game such as EZ Baccarat Punto 2000. There are even specialized tactics for tournament play so that you can walk into any casino, join any baccarat table, and play to win. Additional sections on baccarat etiquette and the history of the game also prepare you for the social nuances of the game, so that you can play confidently without ever feeling out of place either at the rough and tumble mini-baccarat tables or past the velvet ropes with tens of thousands of dollars at stake. Unlike other books on the market, HOW TO WIN BIG AT BACCARAT treats Baccarat as the serious game that it is, and eschews gimmicky tactics that are easy to learn for deep strategies that must be learned and practiced – but which give far better results once they have been mastered. HOW TO WIN BIG AT BACCARAT also provides players with the tools to evaluate new betting strategies and test new ideas rigorously, so that they are always able to distinguish new techniques and developments from complicated schemes with little actual merit. HOW TO WIN BIG AT BACCARAT a literal master-class on playing Baccarat, and it gives well-sequenced, step-by-step instructions on how to improve your game and learn the various techniques outlined in the book. As your understanding and appreciation of the game develops, players will find themselves returning to HOW TO WIN BIG AT BACCARAT to gain further insight into the principles of the game. Baccarat is a game of slim margins and careful play, and it takes a clear mind along with the right set of tools if you want to win. Whether you want to play a few hands at the local casino or take on the world famous Tournoi de Chemin de Fer, HOW TO WIN BIG AT BACCARAT will give you all the skills you need to make money playing Baccarat.

Liebe und andere Zuf lle

Author: Jennifer Crusie
Publisher: Goldmann Verlag
ISBN: 9783641039387
Release Date: 2010-04-23
Genre: Fiction

Die selbstbewusste, 33-jährige Min Dobbs traut ihren Ohren nicht: Der Zufall will es, dass sie mit anhören muss, wie um sie gewettet wird. Calvin Morrissey, der Schwarm aller Frauen, soll ausgerechnet sie – mit ihrer unübersehbaren Vorliebe für gutes Essen und deutlichen Abneigung gegen zu viel männlichen Charme – innerhalb eines Monats verführen. Zuerst ist Min empört, aber dann plant sie, Calvin mit seinen eigenen Waffen zu schlagen. Doch das Schicksal hält für beide eine große Überraschung bereit ...

Games of Love Unendliches Verlangen

Author: Rachel van Dyken
Publisher: Knaur eBook
ISBN: 9783426424933
Release Date: 2014-09-01
Genre: Fiction

Nachdem Kacey und Travis glücklich vereint sind, will seine Großmutter endlich auch den unsteten Jake an die richtige Frau bringen. Sie verdonnert ihn kurzerhand dazu, mit der schlagfertigen Charlotte zur Hochzeit des Bruders zu gehen. Eigentlich ist Jake felsenfest entschlossen, Single zu bleiben, doch dem Charme der gutaussehenden Charlotte kann er einfach nicht widerstehen.

The Only Poker Book You ll Ever Need

Author: John Wenzel
Publisher: Simon and Schuster
ISBN: 9781440517907
Release Date: 2006-05-30
Genre: Games & Activities

A Simon & Schuster eBook. Simon & Schuster has a great book for every reader.

Der perfekte Tipp

Author: Andreas Heuer
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 9783527650781
Release Date: 2013-02-05
Genre: Mathematics

Der Faszination auf den Grund gehen Kein Mensch kann wirklich sicher sagen, wie ein Fu?ballspiel ausgehen wird. Nicht zuletzt darin liegt die Faszination dieses Sports, und genau deshalb macht es so ungeheuren Spa?, Spiele zu analysieren oder zu tippen. Wie man sich dabei auf halbwegs sicherem Grund bewegt, wie man die richtigen Schl?sse aus Statistiken zieht und so Ph?nomenen wie Heimst?rke und Trainerkarussell auf den Grund gehen kann, das zeigt Andreas Heuer in diesem spannenden Buch. Den Kern freilegen Der Autor ist Professor f?r Physikalische Chemie an der Universit?t M?nster, Experte f?r die Theorie komplexer Systeme - und Fu?ballkolumnist f?r Spiegel Online. Er versteht es wie kaum ein anderer, seine Leser mit der Analyse von Statistiken gleichzeitig zu unterhalten und zu verbl?ffen, indem er den sachlichen Kern des jeweiligen Zahlenwerks sichtbar macht. Ist ein Turnierverlauf vorhersagbar? Welchen Sinn haben Trainerwechsel? Welche Rolle spielt der Zufall? Heuer widmet sich den gro?en Fragen des Fu?balls - mit Hilfe der Wissenschaft. Die Ergebnisse werden anschaulich dargestellt. Statistik-Freunde k?nnen im Anhang weiterlesen... Mythen entzaubern Dabei entzaubert er auch einige Mythen. Fans und Sportjournalisten werden sich hin und wieder ertappt f?hlen, wenn Heuer ihnen zeigt, wie scheinbare Fu?ball-Wahrheiten sich bei einer genaueren statistischen Untersuchung in Luft aufl?sen. Auch wenn sich deswegen die Fu?ball-Berichterstattung wohl nicht revolutionieren wird - den Blick des Lesers auf die sch?nste Nebensache der Welt wird dieses Buch garantiert ver?ndern.

Sports Spread Betting

Author: Daniel Townend
Publisher: Summersdale Publishers LTD - ROW
ISBN: 9781848397385
Release Date: 2003-06-01
Genre: Games

The definitive and up-to-date guide to sports spread betting Daniel Townend has interviewed many spread betting insiders in the spread betting firms, sports journalists and successful punters to compile this definitive and up-to-date guide to all aspects of Sports Spread Betting. The book includes chapters on the major individual sports, details of all the different markets offered and the differences between the spread betting firms. The book has sections on: 1) The philosophy of a spread bettor 2) Lies, damned lies and statistics...but how the spread firms swear by them. 3) What moves the market...what traders are thinking when they are setting markets 4) Money-management – know what your losses could be 5) In-running betting 6) Football - Why despite being the national obsession, football is the hardest sport to win on 7) Cricket and how it is the perfect spread bet sport 8) Rugby - The elite teams and inside comment from Ian Robertson 9) Golf - The majors vs. the run of the mill competitions. 10) American Football, Motor Racing & Greyhound Racing 11) Politics - The intrigue of insider information from the halls of Westminster with inside comment from Peter Kellner.

The Perfect Punter

Author: Dave Farrar
Publisher: Bloomsbury Publishing
ISBN: 9781408165010
Release Date: 2012-02-16
Genre: Sports & Recreation

Like millions of other sports-mad gamblers around the world, Dave Farrar loved taking on the bookies. But when the girl that he loved walked out on him without explaining why, it all went wrong and he embarked on an ill-disciplined six-month losing streak that made him decide that he was done with punting forever. As he started to get over the fact that the girl wasn't coming back, he resolved not to give up without a fight. But this time, he was going to do it properly, making sure that he did enough research to take on the bookmakers and win. In The Perfect Punter, Farrar delves into the detail of every sporting event he'd lost money on in that bad run to make sure that, whenever he placed a bet in the future, he would know more about it than anyone else. He travels around the world following the sporting calendar, meeting experts who help him get to the bottom of each event so he can try to win back every penny that he lost. From snooker at the Crucible and racing at Cheltenham, to tennis at Roland Garros, golf's Ryder Cup and the US Superbowl, The Perfect Punter is the engrossing story of one man's journey to overcome the odds.

Carnival Games the Perfect Crimes

Author: Richard Margittay
Publisher: Xlibris Corporation
ISBN: 9781465332363
Release Date: 2009-12-02
Genre: True Crime

This book, written primarily as a training guide for law enforcement personnel, demonstrates how easily police officers can get sucked in by professional con artists. Secondly, the book was written to alert potential victims of the lack of police protection. Thought of by many as just "nickel and dime," the reality is that most midway games, which start with $2 or $5 per play, sometimes builds to more than $100 in losses. It was evident these openly brazen career criminals, who primarily target children these days, account for several million dollars annually in Michigan alone, while they proclaim that their good-natured fraud and gambling enterprises are not crimes at all, but merely "games of skill." For more information, please visit You may email the author at [email protected] You may visit,-we-tell-you-why-you-need-to-beware-of-some-carnival-games to view the WXYZ-TV exposure of rigged Carnival Games.

Al Pha s Bet

Author: Amy Krouse Rosenthal
Publisher: Penguin
ISBN: 9781101650240
Release Date: 2011-05-12
Genre: Juvenile Fiction

Wonderful things are being invented every day in Al Pha's world-fire, the wheel, even shadows! His big chance to be part of history comes when the King announces that the twenty-six recently invented letters need to be put in order. Al makes a bet with himself that he's the man for the job. Through a series of funny events, he eventually finds the perfect order for the letters, and the king rewards him by naming his creation the "Alphabet." Sure to entertain and engage young readers, this book turns the ABC's inside out. Kids will laugh at the quirky illustrations and clever wordplay, while wondering where the alphabet really did get its order.

Her Best Bet

Author: Pamela Ford
Publisher: Harlequin
ISBN: 9781426841514
Release Date: 2009-10-01
Genre: Fiction

Face her ten-year reunion as a lowly traffic manager? No way. Izzy Gordon is going to realize her dream of becoming a filmmaker. Her documentary about an old Wisconsin lodge and its gangster history is sure to be a winner. And she's got an ace up her sleeve, since her family owns the land. Too bad this film drops her into a brewing feud. Seems her family wants to sell the property and the lodge owners are fighting to stay open. They've drafted Gib Murphy—globe-trotting photojournalist and prodigal grandson—to stack their hand. Wow. Could this get worse? Apparently it could, because she's developing a thing for Gib…one he's returning. So at what point does her bluff get called and she has to confess her real identity?

Ultimate Sports Betting Strategies

Author: John C. Steele
Publisher: BookBaby
ISBN: 9781623098810
Release Date: 2012-09-05
Genre: Games & Activities

From NCAA brackets to the Kentucky Derby, sports betting occupies a special place in American culture. Even in states where gambling is strictly illegal, police turn a blind eye to small stakes sports bets because they realize that there is a big difference between putting a few bucks on the home team and spending all weekend at a slot machine. But most people lose money betting on games because they make decisions emotionally, backing either their favorite team or the underdog. As Ultimate Sports Betting Strategies: Bet Like the Pros shows you, it’s possible to make money at sports betting, but most people don’t even try. And when they do, people too often get suckered by ‘systems’ that treat sports as if they were blackjack or poker, subject to rudimentary statistics. Sports advisory services aren’t much better, giving people weekly picks based on some opaque system that is never adequately explained – for a recurring fee, of course. But sports aren’t like blackjack. It’s impossible to crunch all the data and come up with the perfect system. There’s too much information out there, and most of it probably isn’t even important. If you want to beat the bookies, you need a system that combines the predictive power of mathematics with your intuition about how the game works and what variables really determine who will win. There’s almost no way you are going to find out something the bookies don’t already know, so instead you need something that can cut through all the noise and give you deeper insights into your favorite games. ULTIMATE SPORTS BETTING STRATEGIES: BET LIKE THE PROS teaches a system based on the same stochastic models that meteorologists use to predict the weather and stock brokers use to analyze the market. These powerful techniques use feedback from games to continually improve their own performance. But don’t feel intimidated. ULTIMATE SPORTS BETTING STRATEGIES: BET LIKE THE PROS does all the heavy lifting, explaining how to put these principles into practice with a step-by-step guide on how to construct your own iterative prediction system. You don’t need to deal with all the complicated mathematics, we’ve already done that and boiled it down into a process that you can put into action. Even if you’ve never placed a bet before in your life, Ultimate Sports Betting Strategies: Bet Like the Pros explains how odds work, and the different systems that are used by bookies to represent those odds. It also covers all the standard bets (and not-so-standard bets) that are available to you. Ultimate Sports Betting Strategies: Bet Like the Pros gives in-depth information on how to apply the iterative prediction system to baseball, basketball, football, mixed martial arts, and horse/dog racing. These sections point how which variables are worth paying attention to, what can safely be ignored, and what traps other bettors are likely to fall into. Reading through these sections will help you understand the mindset behind the iterative prediction system when approaching novel bets or games that aren’t covered in the book. A fully worked example walks you through the process so that you have something concrete to follow when you first get started, but before long you’ll be able to branch out on your own using the principles that are explained in this book. Instead of offering gimmicks or overly simplistic platitudes about sports, Ultimate Sports Betting Strategies: Bet Like the Pros gives you a powerful system that will improve over time. Instead of making irrational bets that you have to justify later, Ultimate Sports Betting Strategies: Bet Like the Pros will teach you how to eliminate bias from the betting process so that you can find the best value bets and bring in steady profits week after week and year after year. Finally, Ultimate Sports Betting Strategies: Bet Like the Pros covers the psychological aspects of betting that other systems would rather ignore. Bankroll management and a solid plan.

Bet on a Cowboy

Author: Julie Benson
Publisher: Harlequin
ISBN: 9781459230781
Release Date: 2012-06-01
Genre: Fiction

Commitment phobic Colorado cowboy Griffin McAlister has it all figured out. Do the reality dating show, get the money his family desperately needs and go on with his life. Actually falling in love was never part of the deal…least of all falling in love with the show's spunky director. Maggie Sullivan knows she's found a star the minute she meets Griffin. But as she gets to know the man behind the dimples, she realizes she might have found something more. It doesn't matter, though; she has a job to do. Besides, how could he ever notice her while he's busy wooing ten gorgeous women? Now Griffin has a choice to make: stick with the plan and lose Maggie forever, or risk everything for a chance to win her heart!